Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000186 0.000206 0.000227 0.000252 0.000279 0.000309 0.000344
2025-09-28 0.000144 0.000171 0.000203 0.000243 0.000292 0.000350 0.000426
2025-10-05 0.000124 0.000156 0.000195 0.000248 0.000317 0.000405 0.000528
2025-10-12 0.000110 0.000144 0.000189 0.000252 0.000339 0.000456 0.000630
2025-10-19 0.000098 0.000133 0.000180 0.000250 0.000351 0.000495 0.000720
2025-10-26 0.000089 0.000125 0.000176 0.000253 0.000369 0.000542 0.000826
2025-11-02 0.000081 0.000117 0.000168 0.000249 0.000377 0.000575 0.000915
2025-11-09 0.000074 0.000110 0.000162 0.000248 0.000388 0.000613 0.001015
2025-11-16 0.000068 0.000102 0.000155 0.000244 0.000392 0.000640 0.001101
2025-11-23 0.000062 0.000095 0.000148 0.000238 0.000393 0.000661 0.001177
2025-11-30 0.000059 0.000092 0.000146 0.000241 0.000411 0.000712 0.001318
2025-12-07 0.000056 0.000089 0.000145 0.000244 0.000427 0.000763 0.001462
2025-12-14 0.000051 0.000084 0.000138 0.000239 0.000429 0.000789 0.001567
2025-12-21 0.000047 0.000078 0.000130 0.000230 0.000424 0.000803 0.001652
2025-12-28 0.000045 0.000076 0.000130 0.000235 0.000445 0.000871 0.001864
2026-01-04 0.000043 0.000074 0.000129 0.000239 0.000465 0.000938 0.002088
2026-01-11 0.000040 0.000070 0.000125 0.000237 0.000474 0.000983 0.002265
2026-01-18 0.000038 0.000068 0.000124 0.000240 0.000491 0.001048 0.002508
2026-01-25 0.000036 0.000065 0.000120 0.000237 0.000496 0.001087 0.002689
2026-02-01 0.000034 0.000062 0.000117 0.000235 0.000505 0.001137 0.002908
2026-02-08 0.000032 0.000059 0.000113 0.000231 0.000506 0.001168 0.003085
2026-02-15 0.000030 0.000056 0.000108 0.000225 0.000503 0.001188 0.003232
2026-02-22 0.000029 0.000055 0.000108 0.000229 0.000523 0.001270 0.003578